The Value Betting Blog

The Simple Science of Profitable Betting

Closed Doors Matches – Does The Lockdown Affect Sports Betting?

The lockdown has had an impact on every part of our day to day lives, Sport and Sports Betting are no exception. So how does it affect the sports themselves, our betting habits, and the bookmakers’ reactions? We all know about the home ground advantage. It affects odds and it affects our betting and probabilities […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 24.07.2020

6 Ways To Beat Bookmaker Betting Limits

You’ve finally got the perfect betting system, your yield is consistent, the odds are readily available and you are building that bankroll! All smooth sailing… Then BOOM You get whacked with a betting restriction by your bookmaker or even worse, a complete ban! So now what? Let’s check out our options… Summary My Bookmaker has […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 24.07.2020

The Value Betting System – Simply Profitable

Making consistent money betting is not rocket science, in fact, the methodology behind it is incredibly simple. Value Betting. In this article, I will show you the simple but effective method of Value Betting, how it works, why it works and how to implement a Value Betting System! Summary What Are Value Bets? Value Bets […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 14.07.2020

P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Spreadsheet for Sports Betting

Summary In this entry you can find an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the values of: P-Value: The probability of a sports betting yield being a result of luck Expected Maximum Drawdown: The average drawdown of a series of bets P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Spreadsheet PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm (update 8/7/20) P-Value The p-value calculated in the PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 26.03.2020