The Value Betting Blog

The Simple Science of Profitable Betting

Tipsters vs AI Machine Learning Algorithms for Sports Betting

Value bets are difficult to find. Bettors use an array of different methods to choose the bets they place. For some it’s just experience, others follow their intuitions, or they might just bet for their favourite team or player. Many bet almost at random, equivalent to playing the lottery. However, many profitable punters use sophisticated […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 30.07.2020

What Is A Bookmaker?

A bookmaker is a person or organisation that offers betting odds on certain events. Their job is to set the odds for an event, then receive and pay-out bets depending on the outcome.  Bookmakers come in many forms, some operate purely online, some operate only in betting shops or at sports events, and others do […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 28.07.2020

Are Betting Account Limits Illegal?

If you are here then there is a good chance you have been the victim of a betting account limitation or restriction.  Just for being a profitable sports bettor. It sucks but we deal with it, we move on. It’s just part of investing in sports betting. But it shouldn’t be. Getting restricted purely because […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 28.07.2020

Level Or Percentage Staking, Risk/Reward

Summary About Level Or Percentage Staking The blog article “A comparison of level and percentage staking” written by Joseph Buchdahl (@12Xpert) shows the importance of choosing a staking strategy and its infuence on the profit, yield and probability of not making profit, after Monte Carlo simulations of 1000 bets. This article is very interesting and […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 28.07.2020

Closed Doors Matches – Does The Lockdown Affect Sports Betting?

The lockdown has had an impact on every part of our day to day lives, Sport and Sports Betting are no exception. So how does it affect the sports themselves, our betting habits, and the bookmakers’ reactions? We all know about the home ground advantage. It affects odds and it affects our betting and probabilities […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 24.07.2020

6 Ways To Beat Bookmaker Betting Limits

You’ve finally got the perfect betting system, your yield is consistent, the odds are readily available and you are building that bankroll! All smooth sailing… Then BOOM You get whacked with a betting restriction by your bookmaker or even worse, a complete ban! So now what? Let’s check out our options… Summary My Bookmaker has […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 24.07.2020

Worlds Best Bookmakers: Best Betting Sites In The World

After years of betting in different countries, with different bankrolls, on different sports, and with different goals; I feel like I am now in a position to do a deep dive into what I think the best bookmakers are. Yes, the best betting sites in the world. Strap in! There are so many variables that […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 23.07.2020

The Value Betting System – Simply Profitable

Making consistent money betting is not rocket science, in fact, the methodology behind it is incredibly simple. Value Betting. In this article, I will show you the simple but effective method of Value Betting, how it works, why it works and how to implement a Value Betting System! Summary What Are Value Bets? Value Bets […]

Jake Windram-Ashby 14.07.2020

P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Spreadsheet for Sports Betting

Summary In this entry you can find an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the values of: P-Value: The probability of a sports betting yield being a result of luck Expected Maximum Drawdown: The average drawdown of a series of bets P-Value and Expected Maximum Drawdown Spreadsheet PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm (update 8/7/20) P-Value The p-value calculated in the PVALUE_EMDD_BANKROLL.xlsm […]

Miguel Figueres Moreno 26.03.2020