How do I know if my results on WinnerOdds are good?
If you’ve been with WinnerOdds for a while, you’ve probably asked yourself this before:
“Am I doing okay? Are my results normal? Is it me… or the system?”
It’s understandable. Nobody enjoys watching their bankroll go up, then down, then stall—all without knowing whether that’s part of the plan or a symptom of doing something wrong.
That’s when two of lines of thought usually pop up.
The first one is when you flat-out think the system’s broken because “you’ve had a rough month”.
The second one is a bit more level-headed. You calmly look at the numbers, compare them with other users, and realize that your experience may be part of the implied variance of a betting system like this.
Unfortunately, both thoughts can swirl around your head at once, so trying to make sense of your results and tuning out the noise becomes a must.
Today I’d like to explain how to properly make sense of your own results, how to compare them with the average user, and which metrics to pay attention to in order to understand how good your WinnerOdds results actually are.
In fact, at the bottom I’ll give you a tool that will help you interpret your results objectively, but first let me explain how to do it on your own.
The power of the average user
The most reliable metric we have to assess if your results are normal is what we call the > average-user history.
On one side we have the general WinnerOdds history, which includes every bet released by the system at the first available odds and with a constant €1,000 bankroll—something nigh impossible to replicate in practice.
But we also display the average-user history, which shows the average of all bets placed by our users, and factors in odds drops, account limitations, market caps, and our automatic bankroll calculation.
We show this history on our results page for every sport, next to the general history, so you can easily see what users actually achieve in reality.
That’s the primary objective here. Take a good look at this example:
Click the image to enlarge it
It may sound a bit self-serving, but we believe this is the most transparent and fair way to showcase results when it comes to a sports betting system.
And since we don’t have a fortune-telling ball to know if you’ll be positive after the next 20 bets, all you can do to discern if you’re on the right path is comparing your results with the average.
The metrics that actually matter
But things aren’t as simple as seeing how close you are to other users.
Seeing how far you deviate from the average gives you a general outlook, but to properly measure your results, you’ll have to consider a few extra factors.
Many users, when they first share their results, find it impossible not to compare them with those posted by other users.
And while there’s nothing wrong with that, it can be tricky. For example, someone with a €1,500 bankroll will never make the same money as someone with €8,000, even if both perform the same way.
That’s why you should focus on relative metrics, not absolute ones. These are (in my opinion) the six key metrics that you should fully understand when comparing betting results.
1. Yield (%): net profit / units bet * 100
The gold standard. Generally speaking, if your yield is positive and close to the average, the system is working out for you.
2. Bankroll rotation: units bet / 100
In other words, how many times you’ve wagered your entire bankroll. We like measuring this by month, and a 4-6 bank rotation per month is considered optimal.
The higher your bank rotation, the more often you put your money to work, so you’ll earn more at the same yield.
3. Weighted average odds: (1+yield) / hit rate
This is the average of your odds bet weighted by the stake wagered. It helps see if you’re following the full range of odds the system outputs or letting your gut feeling filter out certain ranges.
If your average weighted odds stray far from what the system produces, consider why that might be.
4. Bet size: units bet / number of bets
This indicates if you’re adhering to the stakes recommended by the system or over/understaking. It can also hint at how limited you are relative to most users.
5. Average bankroll: Profit * 100 / units won
The smaller your bankroll, the less money you’ll stake in total, and the less you’ll earn. You’ll also take bigger hits by the flat costs (subscription, taxes…). A bankroll under €2,000 will greatly penalize you.
The sweetspot is starting with a bankroll above €3,000.
6. Units won vs. money won: Units won is an objective metric for comparing users, because units don’t depend on your bankroll. Money won, on the other hand, is calculated based on your bankroll and your average stake, which hinges on your individual circumstances.
If you want to understand how the algorithm has performed for you in theoretical terms, focus on units won and yield, because they’re comparable and objective. But when it comes to tangible outcomes—the money that actually landed in your pocket—then your bankroll size is decisive.
Keep this in mind: As we’ll see in the real example above, it’s not the same to win 35 units with a €1,500 bankroll as it is with €8,000.
The result in units and yield is the same, but the money you take home is hardly comparable.
Case study: Making four times less money with a yield above the average
Let’s contextualize all of this with a real example of an active WO Tennis user as of September 2025.
It shows how a very small bankroll and actively screening bets (not following every pick recommended by the algorithm) can lead to insufficient earnings in euros despite strong theoretical results. Insufficient both for the effort involved and for the user’s own financial gain.
The user subscribed to tennis on June 23, 2025, and by September 12th, their tracking page looked like this:
Now, as we’ve been discussing, the question is… How should we interpret these results?
Let’s first glean at how the average user performed over the same period:
Analysis: What happened here?
582 placed bets vs. 1023 from the average user
Yield: 5.7% (better than the average, which sits at 3.48%)
Bet size: 1.11 units (higher than the average’s 0.87)
Bank rotation: 6.4, slightly low compared to the 8.9 average
Average bankroll: €1,500 (vs €8,200 average)
The first impressions aren’t so bad. Good yield (far above the average), more units bet than the average user, a bank rotation at an optimal range… Everything seems to be going smoothly.
But there’s a problem.
Despite winning more units, rotating their bankroll properly, and with a superior yield, the money earned is 4 times below the average.
How’s this possible?
A few things stand out in the profile. First, the user filtered certain odds ranges and bet less volume, which is likely to reduce earnings. This largely explains why they placed half as many bets as the average user.
Screening odds creates an additional problem: it exposes you to extra variance.
Moral of the story: Don’t filter out any odds range. Place every green bet.
Second, the bankroll.
With a €1,300 bankroll, it’s understandable that the money earned won’t resemble the average user’s. Why? Because the average user in WO Tennis is operating with a bankroll of around €8,000—almost six times higher.
This is due to two reasons:
1. Many users start with large bankrolls (€5,000 or more) because they quickly grasp the system’s potential.
2. Others start lower but roll profits back into the bankroll and, over time, their capital grows on its own.
That’s why comparing profits without accounting for bankroll differences is misleading. You’re missing a crucial detail.
There’s no better proof than this example. Better metrics than the average user, but four times less profit.
Moral of the story: if you want your efforts to pay you back in euros, place all of the system’s bets you can and start with a €3,000 or higher bankroll (and set it to automatic).
Quick checklist to interpret your results
Alright, since I know everything we’ve covered can feel a bit overwhelming at first, I’ve put together a short checklist so you can quickly tell how your WinnerOdds journey is going.
Yield > average
You’re doing well or have been fortunate in the short term
Yield < average
Check if you’re filtering out specific bets, don’t follow the recommended stake, or are simply on a rough streak
Low bankroll rotation (under 4 times a month)
You’re letting picks slip by. Tighten your routines and betting frequency
Really high bet size relative to the average
You’re taking on too much risk. Return to the recommended stake
Low bankroll (<€3,000)
It’ll be harder to make your time and money worthwhile: the units-to-money ratio is lopsided.
If you have < €3,000, try to increase it.
If you already have > €3,000, keep it on automatic.
If you already have > €5,000, you can keep it on automatic or leave it static.
But be mindful: if a bad run drops your real bankroll below €5,000, switch back to automatic.
The most common mistakes
So what are the most common mistakes users make, and why don’t they achieve the expected results? Here are the five I see most often in my day-to-day reviewing user accounts.
1. Disregarding certain odds ranges
Believing only low odds are “safe” and that high odds are a trap (or viceversa). The system is profitable across the entire odds range, you don’t need to come up with filters of your own.
2. Overstaking
“This one’s a freebie, I’m all in”. It’s true that if a bet has +EV, wagering as much as you can afford isn’t inherently wrong, but if you don’t know what you’re doing, it can cost you your bankroll.
Betting outside bankroll parameters isn’t advisable unless you’re very good at assessing risk. The simplest approach is sticking to system recommended stakes.
3. Only paying attention to the profit in euros
We’ve already seen that comparing yourself against someone with a €8,000 bankroll makes no sense if yours is at €1,500. Check units won and yield for a more objective view.
If you want those units to translate to more money, you probably need to increase your bankroll.
4. Quitting during a drawdown
All profitable systems go through bad patches. The key is having strong enough of a mindset and bankroll to endure them. Don’t bail at the first sign of trouble.
5. Placing the bets too late
If you only place bets that have been green for hours, they might be “ripe” or even “spoiled.” The real value often lies in freshly notified bets.
If you want to dig deeper into this, months ago we published an article explaining in detail why people fail to use WO properly.
> Why people fail to use WinnerOdds properly
Conclusion
At WinnerOdds, it’s not about guessing whether you’re doing well based on green or red months.
If you’re here, you already know how this works. You’re a special kind of user, and you’ve understood that the key is knowing what your numbers mean and comparing them with the average.
If your metrics (yield, units, bank rotation) are close or above the average, everything’s in order and you’re likely doing things right.
And if your results in real money don’t match up, usually a small bankroll or not following the system well enough are at fault.
If you believe your case doesn’t fit into anything covered here, feel free to ask the community or email us at contact@winnerodds.com so we can take a look.
People often don’t ask out of embarrassment, fear, or even laziness, but you never know where you’ll find the lever that helps you level up. Be persistent and don’t stay in the dark.
Final BONUS
P.S. If after reading this you still have doubts or simply don’t want to do things by hand, we’ve prepared a (super simple) spreadsheet where, by entering your numbers and the average user’s, you’ll see how well you’re doing at a glance.
If you want the spreadsheet, simply leave a comment on this post with the word “EXCEL”, and I’ll send it right to you.
